2022 NFL Wildcard Monday — Picks & Plays

Zack Nicol
2 min readJan 17, 2022

8:15 PM ET
ARIZONA CARDINALS at LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) ; O/U 49.5

Model Z Projection: LAR -5, 50.10 Total
Straight Up Pick: Arizona Cardinals
Spread Pick: ARI +3.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 49.5⭐⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Over 49.5 (-110)
- Murray over 254.5 Passing Yards (-110)
- Murray over 40.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Murray 50+ Rushing Yards & ARI to win (+324)
- Kupp 80+ Receiving Yards & to score (-104)
- Ertz to score (+190)
- Ertz to score 2x (+1100)
- Ertz to score 1st (+1100)
- Ertz over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- AJ Green over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
ARI Notable Inactives: N/A
LAR Notable Inactives: S Taylor Rapp
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: Oooh, another fun divisional matchup in a wildcard game! I’ve had trouble landing on a winner all week, but I think I’ve come to an answer. What is Kyler Murray good at? Scrambling. How do you stop a scrambler? Either set the edge or have great tracking linebackers. The Rams have the EDGE guys to rush, but have probably the worst set of pure LB’s in my model. I think that’s the key. I could see Kyler running all over the field tonight to get the W. I don’t love it, because I really like this Rams team now and I have to go against the model, but I just don’t see them stopping the slippery and shifty Kyler on the ground tonight. The Rams are also super short at Safety so keep that in mind.

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Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.