2022 NFL Wildcard Monday — Picks & Plays

Zack Nicol
2 min readJan 17, 2022

8:15 PM ET

Model Z Projection: LAR -5, 50.10 Total
Straight Up Pick: Arizona Cardinals
Spread Pick: ARI +3.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 49.5⭐⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Over 49.5 (-110)
- Murray over 254.5 Passing Yards (-110)
- Murray over 40.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Murray 50+ Rushing Yards & ARI to win (+324)
- Kupp 80+ Receiving Yards & to score (-104)
- Ertz to score (+190)
- Ertz to score 2x (+1100)
- Ertz to score 1st (+1100)
- Ertz over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- AJ Green over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
ARI Notable Inactives: N/A
LAR Notable Inactives: S Taylor Rapp
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: Oooh, another fun divisional matchup in a wildcard game! I’ve had trouble landing on a winner all week, but I think I’ve come to an answer. What is Kyler Murray good at? Scrambling. How do you stop a scrambler? Either set the edge or have great tracking linebackers. The Rams have the EDGE guys to rush, but have probably the worst set of pure LB’s in my model. I think that’s the key. I could see Kyler running all over the field tonight to get the W. I don’t love it, because I really like this Rams team now and I have to go against the model, but I just don’t see them stopping the slippery and shifty Kyler on the ground tonight. The Rams are also super short at Safety so keep that in mind.



Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.