NFL Week 11 Recap

A little better this week, but not much. Guest Picker results first, followed by the Lock off results then the game by game breakdowns. Let me know if you see any errors. Enjoy!

WEEK 11 GUEST PICKER BET STANDINGS:
1️⃣Aaron Henderson: 4–3 (+3.60 Units)
T2️⃣Greg Giombarrese: 2–0 (+1.80 Units)
T2️⃣Jimmy Mac: 2–0 (+1.80 Units)
4️⃣Mitty Newman: 3–1 (+1.48 Units)
T5️⃣Adam Polsky: 2–1 (+0.80 Units)

T5️⃣Robert Gallagher: 2–1 (+0.80 Units)
7. Trevor Judge: 2–2 (-0.20 Units)
8. Kevin Morgan: 1–2 (-1.10 Units)
9. Killian Vallieu: 2–2 (-1.20 Units)
10. Garrett Herr: 0–2 (-2.00 Units)
11. Rob McGillick: 1–3 (-2.10 Units)
12. Rob Vota: 1–5 (-2.48 Units)
13. Kenny Bunch: 2–6 (-4.63 Units)

2021 SEASON GUEST PICKER BET STANDINGS:
1️⃣Brad Nicol: 12–7 (+9.02 Units)
2️⃣Connor Spurlin: 6–4 (+7.77 Units)
3️⃣Seth Landry: 9–11 (+7.55 Units)
4️⃣Colby Cheneval: 3–5 (+6.57 Units)
5️⃣Rob Vota: 4–5 (+5.53 Units)
6️⃣Keith Sullivan: 3–0 (+3.10 Units)
7️⃣Cindi Sullivan: 3–1 (+3.00 Units)
8️⃣Craig Ebinger: 12–9 (+2.75 Units)
9️⃣Aaron Henderson: 5–5 (+2.50 Units)
🔟Kyle Hinstorff: 6–3 (+2.33 Units)
11. Mitty Newman: 5–3 (+1.28 Units)
12. Matt Fontana: 4–3–1 (+1.05 Units)
13. Brittany Nicol: 3–3 (+0.95 Units)
14. Kaia Lo: 1–2 (+0.65 Units)
15. Zach Matthews: 2–1 (+0.45 Units)
16. Robert Perry: 5–6 (+0.36 Units)
17. Adam Polsky: 10–13 (+0.24 Units)
18. Ryan Shaughnessy: 8–12 (+0.18 Units)
19. Finley Nicol🐶: 3–4 (+0.15 Units)
20. Clint Wulfecotte: 1–1 (-0.10 Units)
21. Jacob Tannen: 3–3 (-0.15 Units)
T22. Greg Giombarrese: 5–6(-0.20 Units)
T22. David Green: 2–2 (-0.20 Units)
24. Nolan Curnyn: 2–2 (-0.24 Units)
25. Joel Podos: 3–4 (-0.25 Units)
T26. Robert Gallagher: 4–4 (-0.40 Units)
T26. Trevor Judge: 4–4 (-0.40 Units)
T26. Zac Harper: 1–3 (-0.40 Units)
29. Kevin McNellis: 2–1 (-0.50 Units)
30. Chasse Duplantis: 9–14 (-0.55 Units)
31. Lee Page: 1–1 (-0.60 Units)
32. Tanner Mallams: 1–1 (-0.80 Units)
33. Josh Prather: 7–11 (-0.89 Units)
34. Ryan Mead: 4–8 (-0.90 Units)
T35. Londyn Landry: 1–2 (-1.10 Units)
T35. Murphy Sullivan🐶: 1–2 (-1.10 Units)
T35. Tommy Clayton: 1–2 (-1.10 Units)
38. Kevin Morgan: 4–5 (-1.42 Units)
39. Tyler Odle: 1–2 (-1.90 Units)
T40. Derrick Crump: 0–2 (-2.00 Units)
T40. Kayla Reilly: 0–2 (-2.00 Units)
T40. Mike Sanders: 0–2 (-2.00 Units)
43. Jimmy Mac: 2–4 (-2.20 Units)
44. Kyle Brockman: 11–16–1 (2.86 Units)
T45. Justin Gunsaulus: 0–3 (-3.00 Units)
T45. Matt Cox: 1–4 (-3.00 Units)
47. Shane Randel: 1–4 (-3.10 Units)
48. Kevin Fenstermacher: 2–4 (-3.13 Units)
49. Rob McGillick: 1–5(-4.10 Units)
50. Phil Armstrong: 2–6 (-4.30 Units)
51. Garrett Herr: 2–8 (-4.70 Units)
52. Kenny Bunch: 7–11 (-5.44 Units)
53. Tyler Mallams: 0–7 (-7.00 Units)
54. Killian Vallieu: 3–10 (-7.01 Units)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at ATLANTA FALCONS
✅Straight Up Pick: New England Patriots
✅Spread Pick: NE -6.5⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 47⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Mac Jones Over 23.5 Completions (+100)
❌- Bourne 50+ Receiving Yards (+188)
❌- Bourne to have the most receiving yards in the game (+800)
✅- Bourne over 17.5 Longest Reception (-110)
❌- Harris to score (-115)
❌- Harris 60+ Rushing Yards (+128)
❌- Hunter Henry to score (+210)
❌- Sharpe over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
❌- Lee Smith to score (+800)
✅- Pitts Under 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Greg Giombarrese (Pats Fan!): 👍
Stevenson over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-110), 👍Bourne over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Adam Polsky (Pats Fan!): 👍Pitts under 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110), 👎Stevenson to score (+145), 👍NE -6.5 (-110)
Mitty Newman: 👍
NE -6.5 (-110), 👍Matt Ryan under 3.5 Rushing Yards (-142), 👎Mac Jones Over 252.5 Passing Yards (-110), 👍Kyle Pitts under 61.5 Receiving yards (-110)
Kevin Morgan: 👎Zaccheaus to score (+330), 👎Damien Harris to score 2x (+550), 👍NE -6.5 (-110)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at BUFFALO BILLS
❌Straight Up Pick: Buffalo Bills
❌Spread Pick: BUF -7⭐
❌O/U Pick: Under 49.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Diggs over 8.5 receiving yards (-110)
❌- Beasley 50+ receiving yards (+100)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Aaron Henderson: 👍
IND +7 (-110), 👍Taylor scores 1st TD (+390)
Rob Vota: 👎Diggs to score & BUF to win (+155)
Robert Gallagher: 👍IND +7 (-110)

BALTIMORE RAVENS at CHICAGO BEARS
✅Straight Up Pick: Baltimore Ravens
✅Spread Pick: CHI +5⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 43.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Fields Over 246.5 Rushing & Passing Yards (-110)
✅- Mooney 50+ Receiving Yards (-110)
❌- [2X Bet] Kmet to score (+300)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
Fields Over 246.5 Rushing & Passing Yards (-110)
Aaron Henderson: 👎BAL -5 (-110)
Rob Vota: 👎Jackson to score [non-passing] + BAL ML + Andrews to score (+585), 👎Jackson to score & BAL to win (+200)
Rob McGillick: 👎Over 43.5 (-110)

DETROIT LIONS at CLEVELAND BROWNS
✅Straight Up Pick: Cleveland Browns
❌Spread Pick: CLE -12.5⭐⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 42.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
✅- Chubb 100+ rushing yards (+132)
✅- Landry to score (+150)
❌- Landry over 4.5 receptions (-120)
❌- Landry 70+ receiving yards (+235)
❌- Mayfield over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-102)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
Mayfield over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-102)
Aaron Henderson: 👍DET +12.5 (-110)
Rob McGillick: 👍DET +12 (-110)

HOUSTON TEXANS at TENNESSEE TITANS
❌Straight Up Pick: Tennessee Titans
✅Spread Pick: HOU +10⭐
❌O/U Pick: Over 44.5⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- [2x Bet] David Johnson to score (+240)
❌- Foreman 60+ yards (-102)
❌- Foreman to score (+100)
❌- AJ Brown 80+ receiving yards (+100)
❌- AJ Brown to score 2x (+480)
✅- Tannehill to throw INT (+165)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Aaron Henderson: 👎
TEN -10 (-110)

GREEN BAY PACKERS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS
✅Straight Up Pick: Minnesota Vikings
✅Spread Pick: MIN +1⭐
❌O/U Pick: Under 47.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
✅- Justin Jefferson 90+ receiving yards (+146)
✅- Justin Jefferson to score (+130)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
AJ Dillon to score (-145)
Trevor Judge: 👎GB -1 (-110)
Robert Gallagher: 👎GB -1 (-110)
Rob McGillick: 👎GB -6.5 Alt Spread (+210)

MIAMI DOLPHINS at NEW YORK JETS
✅Straight Up Pick: Miami Dolphins
✅Spread Pick: MIA -3.5⭐⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 44.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Carter under 50 Rushing Yards (-110)
❌- Gesicki to score & MIA to win (+266)
❌- Gesicki to score 2x (+1300)
✅- Gaskin 50+ Rushing Yards (+100)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Trevor Judge: 👍
MIA -3.5 (-110)
Rob Vota: 👍MIA -3.5 & Under 44.5 (+252)
Robert Gallagher: 👍MIA -3 (-110)

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
✅Straight Up Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
✅Spread Pick: PHI -2.5⭐
❌O/U Pick: Under 42.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
✅- Trautman 40+ receiving yards (+200)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
Ingram to score (+140)

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM at CAROLINA PANTHERS
❌Straight Up Pick: Carolina Panthers
❌Spread Pick: CAR -3⭐⭐⭐
❌O/U Pick: Under 43⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- CAR -3 (-110)
❌- McCaffrey over 15.5 Rushing attempts (-110)
✅- McCaffrey over 5.5 receptions (+115)
✅- McCaffrey over 113.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Rob McGillick: 👎
Under 42.5 (-110)

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
✅Straight Up Pick: San Francisco 49ers
❌Spread Pick: JAX +6.5⭐
❌O/U Pick: Over 45⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
✅- Aiyuk 50+ Receiving Yards (+118)
❌- Samuel 125+ Receiving Yards (+580)
❌- Garoppolo 250+ Passing Yards (-110)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Aaron Henderson:
👎JAX +6.5 (-110)

CINCINNATI BENGALS at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
✅Straight Up Pick: Cincinnati Bengals
✅Spread Pick: CIN -1.5⭐⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 50.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
✅- Chase under 75.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
❌- Burrow to throw INT (-120)
❌- Josh Jacobs 60+ Rushing Yards (+142)
❌- Waller under 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👍
Mixon to score (-115)
Aaron Henderson: 👍CIN -1 (-110)

DALLAS COWBOYS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
✅Straight Up Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
✅Spread Pick: KC -2.5⭐
❌O/U Pick: Over 55.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Prescott over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+126)
❌- Lamb 100+ Receiving Yards (+188)
❌- Wilson 40+ Receiving Yards (+120)
✅- Schultz 50+ Receiving Yards (+100)
❌- Mahomes over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+150)
❌- Tyreek Hill to score & Chiefs to win (+175)
❌- Tyreek Hill to score 2x (+430)
❌- Tyreek Hill 100+ Receiving Yards (+142)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
Elliott over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Trevor Judge: 👎Over 56.5 (-110)
Rob Vota: 👎Hill to score & Chiefs to win (+175)

ARIZONA CARDINALS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
❌Straight Up Pick: Seattle Seahawks
❌Spread Pick: SEA -1.5⭐
✅O/U Pick: Under 47⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Metcalf over 67.5 receiving yards (-110)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👎
Wilson over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-148)
Trevor Judge: 👍ARI -1.5 (-110)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
✅Straight Up Pick: LA Chargers
❌Spread Pick: LAC -5.5⭐⭐⭐
✅O/U Pick: Over 47.5⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- LAC -5.5 (-110)
❌- Najee Harris to score 2x (+500)
❌- Najee Harris over 20.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)
❌- Mike Williams to have the most receiving yards in the game (+350)
✅- Mike Williams to score (+120)
✅- Mike Williams 80+ receiving yards (+265)
✅- Keenan Allen 80+ receiving yards (+110)
❌- Jared Cook 50+ receiving yards (+320)
❌- Jared Cook to score (+220)
✅- Justin Herbert 300+ Passing Yards (+174)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Kenny Bunch: 👍
Mike Williams over 3.5 Receptions (-148)

NEW YORK GIANTS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
✅Straight Up Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
❌Spread Pick: NYG +11.5⭐
❌O/U Pick: Over 49.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
❌- Godwin 80+ Receiving Yards (+106)
❌- Toney 80+ Receiving Yards (+400)
❌- Toney to score (+300)
❌- Toney to score 2x (+2800)
❌- Fournette to score & TB to win (-111)
❌- Founette to score 2x (+410)
❌- Fournette 100+ Rushing Yards (+370)
❌- Barkley 50+ Receiving Yards (+134)
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Killian Vallieu: 👎
Brady over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110), 👍Evans to score (-110), 👎Over 49.5 (-110), 👍NYG +11.5 (-110)
Rob Vota (Giants Fan!): 👎SGP of Toney 60+ Receiving Yards, Jones to score [non passing], Godwin to score and NYG +11.5 (+3806)
Jimmy Mac (Giants Fan!): 👍NYG +11.5 (-110), 👍Barkley under 42.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Garrett Herr: 👎
Godwin 125+ Receiving Yards & a score (+800), 👎TB -11.5 (-110)

Not that anyone cares, but I just realized that my calculator thing I used has been off, so I’ve been giving extra losses to myself all year long lol. Example: I listed myself as 4–11–1 last week, but I was really 4–9–1. It was set to assume there were 16 games each week. Not going to try and fix the old games now though. So that’s probably why the totals don’t match. I still suck, just not as much as I show below.
WEEK 11 RESULTS
🙂Straight Up: 11–4
🙂Spread: 8–7
😐O/U: 7–8
😢Plays: 19–52
😢Plays by Units: 71bets, 24.75 units won, -28.25 profit
😢Confidence Stars: -4

2021 Season Results (Wk1-Wk11)
🥱Straight Up: 91–83–1*
😢Spread: 75–99–1*
🤮O/U: 73–101*
🥱Plays: 246–418
🤮Plays by Units: 664 bets, 331.04 units won, -92.56 profit
🤮Confidence Stars: -76

--

--

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Zack Nicol

Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.