NFL WEEK 18 — Saturday Picks & Plays

Week 18 Football for the first time ever. Let’s do it! Picks, Plays and Evaluation from me below. Enjoy!

4:30 PM ET
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10.5) at DENVER BRONCOS ; O/U 45
Model Z Projection: KC -8.5, 51.39 Total
Straight Up Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Spread Pick: KC -10.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 45⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Travis Kelce to score & KC to win (+109)
- Tyreek Hill to score & KC to win (+105)
- Javonte Williams to score (+185)
- Javonte Williams to score 2x (+1100)
- Javonte Williams 60+ Rushing Yards (+118)
- KC -6.5 1st Half (-110)
Notable KC Inactives (2) : RB1 Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RT Lucas Niang
Notable DEN Inactives (4): DEN LG Dalton Risner, DEN CB1 Patrick Surtain, DEN CB2 Ronald Darby, DEN S Kareem Jackson
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: The Broncos are out and the Chiefs still have a shot at the 1 seed if they win. That tells you the winner right there. The question is if they can cover the double digit spread. I say yes. The Broncos are without their top 2 corners and a safety, and that secondary is usually their strength of this defense. I think the Chiefs can handle the spread by beating the Broncos up early in this one. Slightly worried about a backdoor cover, but whatever.
Position Faceoff (Have not updated the inactives for the teams not playing today so keep that in mind): 11–2 Kansas City Chiefs
QB: KC 3rd / DEN 24th
RB: KC 21st / DEN 10th
WR: KC 9th / DEN 10th
TE: KC 1st / DEN 16th
OL: KC 3rd / DEN 16th
IDL: KC 3RD / DEN 16th
EDGE: KC 17th / DEN 13th
LB: KC 15th / DEN 26th
CB: KC 1st / DEN 21st
S: KC 7th / DEN 20th
OVERALL: KC 1st / DEN 19th
OFFENSE: KC 3rd / DEN 16th
DEFENSE: KC 6th / DEN 15th

8:15 PM ET
DALLAS COWBOYS (-3.5) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ; O/U 43.5
Model Z Projection: DAL -7.5, 55.26 Total
Straight Up Pick: Dallas Cowboys
Spread Pick: DAL -3.5⭐⭐⭐
O/U Pick: Over 43.5⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays (most props aren’t available):
- Elliott to score & DAL to win (+189)
- Cedrick Wilson to score (+230)
- DAL -3.5 & Over 43.5 (+249)
Notable DAL Inactives (7): RB2 Tony Pollard, WR3 Michael Gallup, LT Tyron Smith, LB1 Micah Parsons, CB1 Trevon Diggs, CB2 Anthony Brown, S1 Jayron Kearse
Notable PHI Inactives (11!): RB1 Miles Sanders, RB2 Jordan Howard, RB3 Boston Scott, TE1 Dallas Goedert, RG Nate Herbig, IDL Fletcher Cox, LB Alex Singleton, LB Genard Avery, CB2 Avonte Maddox, S1 Rodney McLeod, S3 Marcus Epps
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: You’d think if the Cowboys were down Parsons, Diggs, Tyron Smith among others you’d give the win to the Eagles. But, look at their inactives, it’s way worse. One of the worst I’ve seen! I’ll be going with the Cowboys by more than a field goal here on the road, in a game that means slightly more to them than Dallas for seeding purposes.
Position Faceoff: 9–4 Dallas Cowboys
QB: DAL 5th / PHI15th
RB: DAL 15th / PHI 30th
WR: DAL 3rd / PHI 24th
TE: DAL 6th / PHI 31st
OL: DAL 7th / PHI 10th
IDL: DAL 29TH / PHI 26th
EDGE: DAL 2nd / PHI 20th
LB:DAL 19th / PHI 12th
CB: DAL 28th / PHI 12th
S: DAL 18th / PHI 31st
OVERALL: DAL 7th / PHI 24th
OFFENSE: DAL 1st / PHI 25th
DEFENSE: DAL 21st / PHI 19th

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Zack Nicol

Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.