NFL WEEK 18 — Sunday Picks & Plays

Quick Sunday picks and plays below. Trusting the model with most of, if not all of my spread picks this week. Enjoy!

🔒LOCK OFF🔒

Craig Ebinger and I have partnered to do a head to head challenge every week called 🔒LOCK OFF🔒! 4 of our favorite spreads, facing off to see who wins the week. We’re tied going into the last week of the regular season, let’s see if I can take it home this week!
Craig’s Locks: IND -14.5, WAS -7. MIN -4, BAL -3
Zack’s Locks: NYG +7, NO -3.5, TB -8.5, GB -3
Weekly Wins after Week 17: 4–4–1 Tied
Season Totals after Week 17: 14–13 Craig

1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI BENGALS at CLEVELAND BROWNS (-5.5) ; O/U 37
Model Z Projection: CLE -8.5, 52.59 Total
Straight Up Pick: Cleveland Browns
Spread Pick: CLE -5.5⭐
O/U Pick: Under 37⭐
Zack’s Plays (most props aren’t available):
- Nick Chubb to score (+110)
- David Njoku to score (+420)

1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-3) at DETROIT LIONS ; O/U 44.5
Model Z Projection: GB -18, 54.98 Total
Straight Up Pick: Green Bay Packers
Spread Pick: GB -3⭐⭐
O/U Pick: Under 44.5⭐
Zack’s Plays (player props aren’t available😥): N/A

1:00 PM ET
CHICAGO BEARS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-4) ; O/U 44.5
Model Z Projection: MIN -5.5, 53.73 Total
Straight Up Pick: Minnesota Vikings
Spread Pick: MIN -4⭐
O/U Pick: Over 44.5⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Dalvin Cook to score & win (+129)
- Jefferson to score (+110)
- Jefferson 100+ receiving yards (+118)
- Cousins over 24.9.5 Passing Yards (-110)
- Dalton over 215.5 Passing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS??^^ (-7) at NEW YORK GIANTS ; O/U 38
Model Z Projection: NYG -1, 50.23 Total
Straight Up Pick: New York Giants
Spread Pick: NYG +7⭐⭐
O/U Pick: Under 38⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Engram to score (+420)
- Engram over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Fromm over 165.5 Passing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-15.5) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS ; O/U 44
Model Z Projection: IND -13, 51.37 Total
Straight Up Pick: Indianapolis Colts
Spread Pick: IND -15.5⭐
O/U Pick: Under 44⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Taylor to score & alt spread of IND -9.5 (-127)
- Taylor 100+ rushing yards & alt spread of IND -9.5 (-115)
- Wentz over 210.5 Passing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH STEELERS at BALTIMORE RAVENS (-3.5) ; O/U 41.5
Model Z Projection: BAL -5, 52.16 Total
Straight Up Pick: Baltimore Ravens
Spread Pick: BAL -3.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 41.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Najee Harris 80+ Rushing yards (+116)
- Najee Harris to score (-105)
- Marquise Brown receiving yards
- Freiermuth to score (+310)
- Freiermuth 40+ receiving yards (+162)

1:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE TITANS (-10) at HOUSTON TEXANS ; O/U 42
Model Z Projection: TEN -11, 49.10 Total
Straight Up Pick: Tennessee Titans
Spread Pick: TEN -10⭐
O/U Pick: Under 42⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- AJ Brown to score & TEN win (+111)
- AJ Brown over 68.5 receiving yards (-110)
- TEN -6.5 1st Half (-110)

4:25 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5) at ATLANTA FALCONS ; O/U 39.5
Model Z Projection: NO -11.5, 46.39 Total
Straight Up Pick: New Orleans Saints
Spread Pick: NO -3.5⭐⭐⭐
O/U Pick: Under 39.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Kamara over 58.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Kamara over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
- Kamara to score & NO to win (+140)
- Taysom Hill to score +170)
- Taysom Hill over 206.5 passing yards (-110)
- Taysom Hill over 10.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)
- NO -3.5 (-110)

4:25 PM ET
NEW YORK JETS at BUFFALO BILLS (-16.5) ; O/U 40.5
Model Z Projection: BUF -20.5, 50.98 Total
Straight Up Pick: Buffalo Bills
Spread Pick: BUF -16.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 40.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Singletary to score & BUF win (-111)
- Singletary over 69.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Diggs to score (+155)
- Diggs over 70.5 receiving yards (-110)
- McKenzie to score (+420)
- Knox to score (+195)
- Knox 30+ receiving yards (-110)
- Allen over 247.5 Passing Yards (-110)
- BUF over 28.5 points (-110)

4:25 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-6.5) at MIAMI DOLPHINS ; O/U 40
Model Z Projection: NE -4.5, 44.78 Total
Straight Up Pick: New England Patriots
Spread Pick: MIA +6.5⭐
O/U Pick: Under 40⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Stevenson to score (-115)

4:25 PM ET
CAROLINA PANTHERS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-8.5) ; O/U 41.5
Model Z Projection: TB -11, 50.01 Total
Straight Up Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread Pick: TB -8.5⭐⭐⭐
O/U Pick: Under 41.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- TB -8.5 (-110)
- Gronkowski over 6.5 receptions (-110)

4:25 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers at LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) ; O/U 44.5
Model Z Projection: LAR -5.5, 49.03 Total
Straight Up Pick: Los Angeles Rams
Spread Pick: LAR -3.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 44.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- [2X BET] Beckham Jr to score (+140)
- SF over 20.5 points (-105)
-Samuel 60+ Receiving Yards (+116)
- Michel over 14.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)

4:25 PM ET
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at ARIZONA CARDINALS (-5.5) ; O/U 48
Model Z Projection: ARI -7.5, 52.73 Total
Straight Up Pick: Arizona Cardinals
Spread Pick: ARI -5.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 48⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- James Conner to score & ARI to win (+134)
- AJ Green to score (+185)
- AJ Green over 56.5 receiving yards (-110)
- Christian Kirk over 55.5 receiving yards (-110)
- DK Metcalf to score (+170)
- DK Metcalf over 58.5 receiving yards (-110)
- Lockett to score 2x (+1000)
- Ertz to score (+190)
- [2X BET] Ertz 50+ receiving yards (+104)
- Kyler Murray to score (+200)
- Kyler Murray 300+ Passing Yards (+230)

8:20 PM ET
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-3) at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS ; O/U 48.5
Model Z Projection: LAC PUSH, 54.37 Total
Straight Up Pick: Los Angeles Chargers
Spread Pick: LAC -3⭐
O/U Pick: Under 48.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Under 48.5 (-110)
- LAC over 13.5 points 1st Half (-110)