Super Bowl Picks & Plays!
The time has come! Super Bowl picks, plays and evaluation from me below. Picks First, then game rundown, position faceoff, game props then the fun props at the end! Have fun everyone!
1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams (-4) vs Cincinnati Bengals ; O/U 48.5
Model Z Projection: LAR -2, 52.71 Total
Straight Up Pick: Cincinnati Bengals
Spread Pick: CIN +4⭐
O/U Pick: Under 48.5⭐
”Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: Let me start by saying, I don’t feel confident in a winner at all, and I love it. I could see this game going either way. Below is the position faceoff from my Model Z, and I was surprised to see that there was a tie and it’s hard not to want to do a side by side comp to pick a winner. For offense, the QBs are around the same level, Bengals have the RB edge, WRs are close, Cincy with the TE and the Rams have the significant OLine advantage. For defense, the Rams have that DLine advantage powered by Aaron Donald, but both teams are below average at Linebacker and the Bengals have the clear advantage in the secondary. Then for coaching, the Rams and McVay have the edge. It’s tough. The biggest narrative in this game is Aaron Donald against the OLine, right? Well I believe the Bengals have the ammo to beat that with a great running back who can catch too, Burrow’s ability to throw quick passes and run when necessary, his success against the blitz, and just plenty of weapons to choose from. So I’ll be going the other way and will go under 5.5 total sacks in the game.
So who’s the pick? I’m going with the Bengals. I think they do the quick passes on offense, keep everyone but Kupp in check on defense, and pull off a good one in LA! With the total, I’d love to go over, but the Bengals surprisingly slow pace of play this year (29th in the league) and the history of really slow starts with only 3 TOTAL touchdowns in the first quarter in the last 8 super bowls. Wow.
Position Faceoff: TIED 6–6–1
QB: LAR 7TH / CIN 5TH
RB: LAR 17TH / CIN 9TH
WR: LAR 1ST / CIN 2ND
TE: LAR 30TH / CIN 15TH
OL: LAR 5TH / CIN 21ST
IDL: LAR 1ST / CIN 8TH
EDGE: LAR 2ND / CIN 19TH
LB: LAR 19TH / CIN 19TH
CB: LAR 7TH / CIN 4TH
S: LAR 25TH / CIN 14TH
OVERALL: LAR 8TH / CIN 10TH
OFFENSE: LAR 7TH / CIN 5TH
DEFENSE: LAR 7TH / CIN 14TH
Zack’s Game Plays:
- Burrow to score [non-passing] (+700)
- Burrow over 11.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Burrow over 36.5 Pass attempts (-110)
- Burrow most passing yards in game (-105)
- Boyd 1st Bengals TD (+700)
- Beckham over 5.5 receptions (+118)
- Beckham to score (+130)
- Akers under 80.5 rushing & receiving yards (-110)
- McPherson over 7.5 points (-110)
- McPherson over 1.5 field goals made (-110)
- Stafford over 5.5 rushing yards (-110)
- LAR D/ST to score last (+2200)
- Perine over 3.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Kupp over 104.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Michel over 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Under 5.5 Sacks (-110)
- Mixon over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Mixon over 87.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-110)
- Mixon to score (+100)
- Mixon to score first (+750)
- Mixon SB MVP (+4000)
Zack’s Fun Props:
- Team Ruff Puppy Bowl winner (-110)
- Coin Toss is Heads (-105)
- First Play of the game is a pass (+100)
- Gatorade Color is Orange (+300)
- Super Bowl MVP thanks his teammates first (-115)
- National Anthem sung by Mickey Guyton (nicknamed Quickie Mickey) over 95 seconds (-110)
- Over 19.5 for the jersey number to score first (-110)
- “California Love” to be the first song played during the halftime show (+800)
- Eminem to wear a hood when first seen at the halftime show (+200)