WEEK 3 — Monday Night Football!

Zack Nicol
3 min readSep 27, 2021

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8:15 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES vs DALLAS COWBOYS (-3.5) ; O/U 51.5

Model Z Projection: 27–27 DAL (50.00% Chance to win)
Straight Up Pick: Dallas Cowboys
Spread Pick: DAL -3.5⭐
O/U Pick: Over 51.5⭐⭐⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Over 51.5 (-110)
- [2x Bet] Reagor Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Pollard Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Reagor most receiving yards in the game (+1000)
Top DFS Matchups: Dak Prescott ($6,900), Jalen Hurts ($6,800), Devonta Smith ($5,300), Jalen Reagor ($4,600), Dalton Schultz ($3,300)
Notable Inactives: DAL S Donovan Wilson, DAL EDGE Bradlee Anae, DAL LB Keanu Neal, DAL IDL Carlos Watkins, PHI S Rodney McLeod, PHI LT Jordan Mailata

🎁🎁GUEST PICKERS ALERT🎁🎁
🎁Mike Sanders Jr. — Under 51.5 (-110)
🎁Kylepbrockman — Hurts anytime scorer [not passing] (+155)
🎁Kylepbrockman — Prescott over 1.5 Passing TDs (-166)
🎁Kylepbrockman — Lamb to score (+100)
🎁Brad Nicol — Lamb to score (+100), Prescott Under 297.5 Passing Yards (-110), DAL -3.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110)
🎁Trevor Judge — PHI ML (+158) “The game basically comes down to the fact that the Cowboys have nobody on that defense that can get pressure on Hurts and make him uncomfortable, much less keep him contained in the pocket. They don’t have anyone capable of covering their TE’s. It’s probably going to be a decently high scoring game…probably something like 34–27 Philly. The Cowboys will find ways to score but I don’t think they’ll be able to get enough stops.”
🎁Seth Landry — Elliott to score 2 TD’s (+650)
🎁Seth Landry — DAL -6.5 Alternate Spread (+140) “Dallas has won each of it’s last four home-openers, averaging 28.5 ppg. I expect Dak and Zeke to eat against their division foe.”
🎁Joel Podos — DAL -3.5 (-110)

Zack’s Rundown: The Cowboys seem to consistently have 4+ significant players on the inactive list for every game. Once they get fully healthy, they can be a top 10 team in my opinion, if they aren’t in consideration already. This should be a fun game on Monday Night with these two NFC East foes, where the winner will take an early lead in the division. It’s a really tough pick here, and that’s what we want on a Monday Night. Typically the key to beating this Philly team is to have good EDGE and LB’s to contain Hurts in the ground game, but Hurts showed us last week and over a few games last year that he can become a threat in the air too. I think Dallas has the LB’s to stop him on the ground, and if the corners can keep up with these speedy Philly receivers, they’ll come out on top. My bet is that DAL CB1 Trevon Diggs shadows Davonta Smith tonight by the way, so I’m all in on WR2 Reagor. I’ll take the Cowboys straight up and with the spread but I’m more confident in a high scoring shootout than picking a winner here.
Position Faceoff: 8–5 DALLAS COWBOYS
QB: PHI 17TH / DAL 8TH
RB: PHI 17TH / DAL 8TH
WR: PHI 27TH / DAL 13TH
TE: PHI 12TH / DAL 23RD
OL: PHI 15TH / DAL 8TH
IDL: PHI 7TH / DAL 31ST
EDGE: PHI 23RD / DAL 24TH
LB: PHI 29TH / DAL 12TH
CB: PHI 10TH / DAL 26TH
S: PHI 25TH / DAL 23RD
OVERALL: PHI 24TH / DAL 19TH
OFFENSE: PHI 21ST / DAL 9TH
DEFENSE: PHI 22ND / DAL 29TH

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Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.