Week 7 — MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Monday Night Football time! Picks, Plays and Evaluation from me below. Guest pickers at the bottom of the article. Enjoy!

8:15 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-5.5) at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS ; O/U 41.5
Model Z Projection: 25–22 NO (68.10% Chance to win)
Straight Up Pick: New Orleans Saints
Spread Pick: NO -5.5⭐
O/U Pick: Under 41.5⭐
Zack’s Plays:
- Kamara longest rush over 15.5 Yards (-110)
- Kenny Stills to have the most receiving yards in the game (+1160)
- Metcalf Under 57.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Winston Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+124)
- Collins to score (+230)
- NO -5 (-110)
Notable Inactives: SEA RB1 Chris Carson, SEA QB Russell Wilson, NO WR2* Deonte Harris, NO QB2* Taysom Hill
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: The Manning’s are back on the special Monday Night Football broadcast! That should be the headline, as this Seahawks Saints game doesn’t give off the hype like we’ve been accustomed to over the past decade. I like the Saints tonight (with low confidence), mainly because I think this Saints defense is underrated. They’ll be activating EDGE Marcus Davenport and LB Kwon Alexander off IR, plus they have big names like EDGE Cameron Jordan and LB Demario Davis in the front seven, then S Marcus Williams, S Malcolm Jenkins, CB2 Bradley Roby and #2PFF Graded CB Marshon Lattimore. That #4 Model Z rated secondary should be able to handle the Lockett and Metcalf combo, especially with it being Geno Smith instead of Russell Wilson throwing the rock. For player props and DFS, I like the matchups for Kamara (SEA 16th vRB), Saints WRs (SEA 21st vWR) and Winston (SEA 23rd vQB). Then I like what the snap counts and target shares tell me when it comes to Marquez Callaway and Kenny Stills. Callaway is the clear #1 with 70% of snaps for all games but one, and Stills reaching 71% last week with D. Harris out of the picture. No one really sticks out when it comes to redzone touches though for either team outside of Alex Collins, so I’ll stay away from the touchdown props except for him.
Position Faceoff: 9–4 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
QB: SEA 29TH / NO 25TH
RB: SEA 32ND / NO 3RD
WR: SEA 11TH / NO 30TH
TE: SEA 20TH / NO 25TH
OL: SEA 11TH / NO 5TH
IDL: SEA 10TH / NO 32ND
EDGE: SEA 24TH / NO 6TH
LB: SEA 2ND / NO 6TH
CB: SEA 23RD / NO 7TH
S: SEA 11TH / NO 4TH
OVERALL: SEA 25TH / NO 18TH
OFFENSE: SEA 22ND / NO 20TH
DEFENSE: SEA 20TH / NO 3RD

🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Jacob Tannen:
NO -4 (-110), Under 41.5 (-110), Kamara to score 2x (+240)
Greg Giombarrese: SEA ML (+194), Collins 50+ Rushing Yards (+118), Collins to score (+230), Lockett Over 4.5 Receptions (+114)
Tyler Mallams (😇Saints Fan😇):
Over 41.5 (-110), Kamara to score 2x (+240), G Smith to score [non-passing] (+650)
Matt Cox (😇Saints Fan😇): NO -4.5 (-110), Kamara 40+ Receiving Yards (+130), NOLA 1st Drive Result is a Punt (-150)
Chasse Duplantis (😇Saints Fan😇):
NO -4.5 (-110), Winston Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+124), D. Davis Over 7.5 Tackles (-110)
Kylepbrockman: Lockett to score (+240), Kamara 1st TD Scorer (+300), NO -13.5 Alt Spread (+270)

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Zack Nicol

Zack Nicol

Geaux Tigers. Go Mavs. Go Pats. Go Stars. Go Rangers. Go BlueClaws.