Week 7 — Thursday Night Football
Thursday Night Football, let’s go!! Picks, Plays and Evaluation from me below. Guest pickers at the bottom of the article. Enjoy!
8:20 PM ET
DENVER BRONCOS at CLEVELAND BROWNS (-1) ; O/U 40.5
Model Z Projection: 23–23 CLE (54.50% Chance to win)
Straight Up Pick: Cleveland Browns
Spread Pick: CLE -1⭐
O/U Pick: Under 40.5⭐ (changed at 6:07pm after hearing about high winds)
Zack’s Plays:
- D’Ernest Johnson to score (+150)
- D’Ernest Johnson to score 2x (+1000)
- D’Ernest Johnson 100+ Rushing Yards (+550)
- Njoku to score (+480)
- H Bryant to score (+850)
- Bridgewater to throw INT (+112)
Top DFS Matchups: Austin Hooper ($2,700), D’Ernest Johnson ($4,800), Demetric Felton ($4,900), Donovan Peoples-Jones ($4,100)
Notable Inactives: CLE QB Baker Mayfield, CLE RB1 Nick Chubb, CLE RB2 Kareem Hunt, CLE WR1 Odell Beckham Jr (Doubtful), CLE WR2 Jarvis Landry (Probable), CLE RT Jack Conklin, CLE LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, DEN WR1 Jerry Jeudy (Doubtful), DEN LB Alexander Johnson
Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: An absolutely wild Injury report, almost all for the Browns. They *could be* without their QB, RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, LT, RT and LB1. Never seen anything like that. AND THEY’RE STILL FAVORED. Crazy. You’d be an idiot to take them right? Call me an idiot then! Keenum is a serviceable QB, RB D’Ernest Johnson isn’t as bad as his name lol, they have 3 solid TEs, some good & exciting depth at WR, and their defense is basically fully healthy outside of rookie JOK. I liked the Broncos coming in to the season, and they’ve been okay, but not as good as I thought they would be. Also, their “breakout” Linebacker Alexander Johnson (3rd best PFF LB this season) was sent to IR this week so that hurts big time. I really think the Browns can pull it off. Do I think they should be favored? No. I expect a low scoring game because the defenses are good, but 40.5 is probably too low for me.
Position Faceoff: 8–5 CLEVELAND BROWNS
QB: DEN 16TH / CLE 31ST
RB: DEN 18TH / CLE 32ND
WR: DEN 23RD / CLE 19TH
TE: DEN 6TH / CLE 5TH
OL: DEN 17TH / CLE 7TH
IDL: DEN 17TH / CLE 25TH
EDGE:CEN 15TH / CLE 3RD
LB: DEN 32ND CLE 20TH
CB: DEN 4TH / CLE 11TH
S: DEN 2ND / CLE 15TH
OVERALL: DEN 21ST / CLE 16TH
OFFENSE: DEN 21ST / CLE 16TH
DEFENSE: DEN 13TH / CLE 11TH
🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁
Aaron Henderson: DEN ML (+102), Under 40.5 (-110), Gordon First Touchdown Scorer (+750)
Trevor Judge: CLE -1 (-110), Under 40.5 (-110), Beckham to score (+190) *If Beckham does not play, replace Beckham bet with Njoku to score (+500)*
Rob Vota: DEN ML & Under 48.5 (+161), D Johnson to score (+150), D Johnson 100+ Rushing Yards (+550)
Chasse Duplantis: DEN +1.5 (-110), Bridgewater to throw 2 + TDs & Broncos to win (+285), D Johnson Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)